Wednesday, November 29, 2006

Saddam's comeback

A lot of people are talking about this...I think it's mostly pot stirring. However let's open the debate...my thoughts ...after Mr. Chait of the LA Times.

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Jonathan Chait: Bring back Saddam Hussein

Restoring the dictator to power may give Iraqis the jolt of authority
they need. Have a better solution?

Jonathan Chait

November 26 2006

THE DEBATE about Iraq has moved past the question of whether it was a
mistake (everybody knows it was) to the more depressing question of
whether it is possible to avert total disaster. Every self-respecting
foreign policy analyst has his own plan for Iraq. The trouble is that
these tracts are inevitably unconvincing, except when they argue why all
the other plans would fail. It's all terribly grim.

The complete article can be viewed at:
http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/opinion/la-op-chait26nov26,0,6657405.column

Visit latimes.com at http://www.latimes.com

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and sgtelf says: I think it's a bullshit pot stirring trial balloon...if there is anything
behind it...it's a real dictator, this is to see how it flies.

Saddam is finished...he has no power. Even he knows it.

We only got him (drugged...BTW hence his disorientation) cuz his own fed him
to us.

Saturday, November 25, 2006

Thursday, November 23, 2006

The New Army

The Army has all the leadership and knowledge it needs to succeed in its' lower and middle levels. Once the path is cleared for these fine people, the re-organized Army will build around and be trained and led by SF/SOF, CALL personnel and veterans who've actually done it. We have the finest trainers in the world-Special Forces-and it's time for them to actually train the rest of us. This isn't an innovation, our enemies have made it a best practice since the Strum battalions trained the rest of the Imperial German Army in WWI. It's been a best practice for the WWII Germans, the Soviets, and the North Koreans as well. Elite forces train the rest. Don't expect either to be happy about it.

"He should be trained to shoot rapidly on foot, either in the Roman or the Persian manner" Maurice's Strategikon, 6th century BC.

The Byzantine cataphract was trained to fight mounted or dismounted, when mounted he carried lance, spear and bow, most importantly he trained not just in the latter Roman fashion but practiced Persian or Parthian battle drills as well. He knew how his enemy fought.

Our soliders must train and fight as both guerrillas themselves and as a heavy force on force uniformed Army. Each major formation, whether it be Brigade or Division will have a formal training relationship with it's respective elite forces. Everyone trains to do their specialty while fighting as infantry, and everyone fights. The days of little garrison USA being established and maintained while the world burns around them must end.
Chapter 11 time

Big Army (Big Government in uniform) must undergo chapter 11 reorganization-something most industries underwent from the 70's to the 90's. Chapter 11 means bankruptcy organization, for we are bankrupt in leadership and values. They can post as many signs up as they want, when a moment of moral choice bites their interests these big macho, tabfinder studs fart and blow out the window. A great case in point is Abu Gharib...where the Commanders' took the 5th, and the junior enlisted took the fall. That's not an isolated case, but is becoming a pattern.

Chapter 11 begins by firing the top and middle management, and replacing it with competent leadership that will make tough choices, and in our case a lot fewer leaders period. So adios to our Generals and our Smadges....yes you too, you let it go on. Before we do anything else the path must be cleared of deadweight and debris first; the Force in Being Powell Army/Big Army must die to make way for a fighting Army.

Tuesday, November 21, 2006

The FIB finds the FOB...it's own level.

FIB: Force in Being. The Army we built in the 80's. It's not supposed to fight, that's what the Powell doctrine and the Weinberger collorary are all about. Like the last great force in being, the Imperial German Navy, once its' bluff was called it wasn't gonna let itself win even when it did (Battle of Jutland).

Iraq, like real life in the States, is a jungle. Don't go out there!! Stay in the Army, stay on the FOB. Never get off the boat, you'll meet the tiger.
New War

The new way of war (terrorism) is simple to understand: it's real life with guns, bombs and the law of the jungle as "the market". Murderers are sent when in America you'd send lawyers, or talk it out. You have political parties, but they are nothing without your own murder crews.

The franchise will no longer be guaranteed by the gun, the gun is the franchise.

As the bulk of the Army spends it's time in garrison, the field or even in war in a regimented environment it's risible that people who've spent decades in it could adapt as an institution or that the leadership could grasp it. They don't have to deal with the rough and tumble of life outside the government cocoon, in their case a cocoon that seeks a standard for every tick and movement of their lives. Iraq is where all the discipline on minor things like walking when you smoke and having a standard for everything you do pays off. For the enemy, SGM. You end up with people who can't cope without being told what to do...facing an enemy who has run rings around them the entire time.


Real Wars.

"I don't think you can call this a real war, it's not between Army's". LT, Ft. Knox standard issue type, said in country.

No Lieutenant jokes. This is the operating philosophy from SecDef down, and the institutions DNA. The LT was just honest enough to voice it. The "Rebel Generals" are mostly angry at Rumsfeld because they blame him for putting them in the war we had, not the war they want to have; right now they think it's China, and will keep thinking that until the Chinese are ready. Then suddenly they won't have enough resources, and will testify to Congress we need more troops to win this than we have on the rolls, and couldn't get within years even with a draft.

Not that Big Army would prevail in a "real war" either. Not against China, nor North Korea. Or the Wehrmacht either. Or anyone. In fact soon there will be no won living who won a war wearing this uniform as the WWII generation dies out, except for SF in El Salvador, etc.

Not that there's going to be a "real" war involving armadas of tanks and planes. Not only are these fleets on the sea, air and ground very expensive, they are obsolete. As useless as the Maginot line. Our foes know this..war has changed, but the US military hasn't.

Sunday, November 19, 2006

Broadway or Baghdad? Apparently Broadway.

The voters have spoken. We had a choice between fighting on our soil, and fighting off it (maybe). The choice was made. Our fellow citizens forgot what 3000 dead an hour was like, so they blanched at 3000 over 5 years of an offensive where the fight was bought to the enemy homeland, with many thousands of their fighters killed, several times that taken prisoner. Make no mistake...this means it's over for us in this region. We will lose the entire region to include Afghanistan, the bulk of the worlds energy and more deadly the Muslim demographic bomb will be in the hands of mortal enemies. We will now face the situation of Byzantium at the end of the 7th century...having lost the same ground. Get ready for the new America: alone, surrounded by enemies, and poor. That's right Aghab. When we get rolled up the international system of security collapses. That means the collapse of trade relations as we knew them and most importantly the end of the USA's unlimited credit card.

The next attack against the West may well be a terrorist coup de main (like Madrid) designed to break our will completely. If preserving my life was my most important value, I'd get the hell away from Manhattan.

Mona Charen gets it: the writing is on the wall...all the walls.

http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NjNmMmNkNzU4ZDVmZWU2ZDgwYzY2YjRkOWUxZGZlN2E=

Monday, November 13, 2006

Stupid Little Wars

"The enemy diversion you are ignoring is the main attack" - Murphy's Laws of Combat

And the nasty little insurgency we are ignoring as we pile up on the FOB happens to be Global Jihad's main effort.

"Washington, showing considerable warmth, said 'he was very sorry General Lee undertook the Command, unless he meant to fight the enemy". Battle of Monmouth 1778.

"All this disgraceful retreating, passed without the firing of a musket, over ground that might have been disputed inch by inch". Officer close to Washington, concerning Lee's retreat at the Battle of Monmouth.

Lee was court-martialed. And so should be Big Army. How do you court-martial an organization? It's called bankruptcy re-organization, or chapter 11. In other words...you fire all the management.


Sunday, November 12, 2006

Here's a lady who gets it...the voters have just hung out the kick me, hard sign. She predicts it's coming.

http://www.melaniephillips.com/diary/?p=1382

Saturday, November 11, 2006

Transitioning to Iraqi Control -- or "Incentivizing"

Reading the record of the Iraqi "Government" assuming security responsibilities is like reading the Old Testament as revised by Edgar Allan Poe.

There is no Iraqi government in the center...unless you define government exclusively as dividing up the swag. They cannot stand alone. More to follow.

Friday, November 10, 2006

The enemy understands how to shock, terrify and wear down morale with his theatre macrabre (911 as the greatest act of art in history), while inspiring his own followers.

A.Q also learned the lessons from EZLN (the Zapatistas) in mobilizing NGO's for their cause...and the NGO's listen and assist..Incredibly given the overt reactionary fascism of Islamism. Maybe it's a case of paying attention.

We meanwhile appear dumbfounded that we're losing the propaganda war. Perhaps it's because we're not fighting.
While we focused on brilliant weapons, FCS (future combat system), space the final frontier...our enemies focused on the mind, the moral, the intangible, the spiritual. That's why murder is staged as theater*, whether a mass burnt offering (911) or butchering a pacifist in a orange prisoners jumpsuit.

*See also any disaster movie with NYC as the setting.

Tuesday, November 07, 2006

While we are denying terrain, the enemy is denying population-the real objective-after we conducted elections, the enemy exercised the true franchise...the gun.

We need to move from terrain denial to population denial (deny first control of, then access to the population).

We need to screen people, not terrain. We can start with IA/IPs.

Key terrain: no longer a bridge or road junction, unless people live on it. Key terrain is a housing area, or a mosque.
Terrorism and Guerrillas -- then and now.

Then:

Poor. Short of everything to include food. Required local taxes on civilians in food or money, even when they had outside help. Weapons were often stolen or manufactured. (Communism was always poor).
Local/Regional. Recruits, "taxes" in money or food, weapons were local.
Motivation: political, economic redress, worldly (temporal) motives.
Power: from the barrel of a gun to professors, teachers, lawyers, bougeious intellectuals.
Kill to achieve local control.

TACTICS:
Level I: mines, grenades, sniper, assassinations . Squad sized. Local units. First stage of Peoples War.
Level II: Platoon company sized formations. Main force units begin to form. Shadow govt local/regional, i.e as in Vietnam.
Level III: Battalion and larger units. Peoples war moves from guerrilla to conventional war.


Now:

Rich. Seemingly unlimited outside funding (fill er up). Not only are they rich in weapons, explosives, not least in trained personnel...they actually have "walking around money" to buy sympathy, allegiance, mercenary fighters, even houses from civilians who won’t sell based on threats.
Global. Recruits, $, support both moral and legal, media support. It’s not just the internet..it’s the umma. All support flows to the active regions around the world. The battle is tracked real time by their supporters in London, Cairo, Riyadh and by other interested parties in NYC, DC and LA.
Motivation: religious. Concerned with the spiritual, the eternal (heaven).
Power: from the camera lens, the minaret.
Power: Clerics, scholars, ambitious criminals and warlords, bougeious youth.
Kill as part of the Global theater of the mind.

TACTICS:
I) IED, VBIED, Shahid, as well as mines, grenades, sniper, assasinations .
II) Militia bands take towns, impose sharia. Near complete population denial for government (the enemy truly holds the people, as in many villages and neighborhoods).
III) Strategic terrorist strikes (911, Madrid). Assassination of National figures with eye to shadow coup de main (they hold real power...as they appear to do over Malaki).
Terrorism and Guerrillas -- then and now.

Then:

Poor. Short of everything to include food. Required local taxes on civilians in food or money, even when they had outside help. Weapons were often stolen or manufactured. (Communism was always poor).
Local/Regional. Recruits, "taxes" in money or food, weapons were local.
Motivation: political, economic redress, worldly (temporal) motives.
Power: from the barrel of a gun to professors, teachers, lawyers, bougeious intellectuals.
Kill to achieve local control.

TACTICS:
Level I: mines, grenades, sniper, assassinations . Squad sized. Local units. First stage of Peoples War.
Level II: Platoon company sized formations. Main force units begin to form. Shadow govt local/regional, i.e as in Vietnam.
Level III: Battalion and larger units. Peoples war moves from guerrilla to conventional war.


Now:

Rich. Seemingly unlimited outside funding (fill er up). Not only are they rich in weapons, explosives, not least in trained personnel...they actually have "walking around money" to buy sympathy, allegiance, mercenary fighters, even houses from civilians who won’t sell based on threats.
Global. Recruits, $, support both moral and legal, media support. It’s not just the internet..it’s the umma. All support flows to the active regions around the world. The battle is tracked real time by their supporters in London, Cairo, Riyadh and by other interested parties in NYC, DC and LA.
Motivation: religious. Concerned with the spiritual, the eternal (heaven).
Power: from the camera lens, the minaret.
Power: Clerics, scholars, ambitious criminals and warlords, bougeious youth.

TACTICS:
I) IED, VBIED, Shahid, as well as mines, grenades, sniper, assasinations .
II) Militia bands take towns, impose sharia. Near complete population denial for government (the enemy truly holds the people, as in many villages and neighborhoods).
III) Strategic terrorist strikes (911, Madrid). Assassination of National figures with eye to shadow coup de main (they hold real power...as they appear to do over Malaki).
Kill as part of the Global theater of the mind.

Monday, November 06, 2006

The failure.

We have failed here despite our best efforts and signal successes for three reasons.

1) USA and ISF (Iraqi Security Forces) have utterly failed to provide local security nationwide. Local security means where the people, or for that matter Iraqi officials and ISF personnel live, where their families sleep, where the civilian works. The militias have filled that vacuum.

2) We have misunderstood the motives of the insurgency from day one. We focused on the economic (Marx, again) and the political....in other word the temporal. The enemy has always been focused on the spiritual and the next world. Perhaps we should start taking him at his word. He seems to do his best to keep his promises so far.

3) This isn't really an "insurgency". It's a Global jihad, with terrorist and guerrilla tactics from the lowest to highest levels. In US military terms....Level I (small groups = individual IED, suicide bomber, truck bomb or sniper) level II (mid-intensity warfare, platoon or smaller sized elements = ) to level III (high intensity warfare, large sized formations = strategic terrorist actions such as 911 or the Madrid bombings). Doubtless the enemy has read Mao, it seems the jihadi have adapted terrorism to each level to replace mass formations at any level. Sorry DOD.
COIN obsolete?

COIN (counter-insurgency) doctrine traditionally orients on fixing the underlying (undermining) weakness in the government's policy that feeds the insurgency. Usually that means economic redress, land reform, social services, equality under the law, and the like. As with so much of what we do it's a response to Marxist movements. That means there is never a purely military solution, but that there has to be a political and economic one as well, and the establishment of a more just goverment that provides better economic opportunities, social services, redistribution of land or wealth, and equality under the law will "drain the swamp" and eliminate the breeding ground of the killer mosquitos. Economic solutions were pursued from the beginning at every level with national and local construction both contracted, done by local units, even G.I's on their own initiative and time (between combat missions). There was some success nationwide in these efforts and they were hampered mainly by sabotage (again the failure to provide security).

However despite the high unemployment rate young men are not interested in reconstruction or commerce. They still want to blow things up. Perhaps it's the wounded pride and loss of dignity that counts more, restoration of soverignty should help.

So in Iraq we have from the beginning pursued a political solution by setting up local councils, then elections at all levels, a locally drawn up and locally ratified Constitution (climaxing with the dramatic "purple fingers" election; free, fair, even safe) and not least trying to establish security legitimacy for the Iraqi's by training, equipping, advising and most of all turning over control to Iraqi Security Forces. That should take the wind out of the insurgents sails! And in most insurgencies up until now, it would have. But the lot of the GI and most especially the Iraqi civilian worsens, never more than now. Why?
Our Failure Here

The failure in Iraq is to provide security, the primary purpose for any government and the only justification for any military forces (someone tell the leadership that). If the terrorists are a disease in the body politic (both the West's and Iraq's) then it is failure in the immune system's. The US government failed to protect its' citizens on Sept 11, the Iraqi government does it hourly.

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